Helmut Norpoth is an American political scientist and professor of political science at Stony Brook University. He is best known for developing the Primary Model to predict US presidential elections. His model has successfully matched the results of 25 out of 28 US Presidential elections since 1912. In 2016, this model gained significant media attention because it predicted that Donald Trump would win the general election.
About Helmut Norpoth in brief
Helmut Norpoth is an American political scientist and professor of political science at Stony Brook University. He is best known for developing the Primary Model to predict US presidential elections. His model has successfully matched the results of 25 out of 28 US Presidential elections since 1912. In 2016, this model gained significant media attention because it predicted that Donald Trump would win the general election.
Donald Trump actually lost the 2016 two party popular vote with 48. 9%. On March 2, 2020, he stated that his model gave Trump a 91% chance at winning re-election. This was the most wildly inaccurate prediction in the model’s history.
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