Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election
This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election. Donald Trump won the general election of Tuesday, November 8, 2016, despite losing the popular vote while winning the electoral college. Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Clinton, but overestimated the size of her lead.
About Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election in brief
This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election. Donald Trump won the general election of Tuesday, November 8, 2016, despite losing the popular vote while winning the electoral college. Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Clinton, but overestimated the size of her lead. Retrospective analyses differ as to why the polls and commentators interpreting them were unable to correctly forecast the result of the election. Two daily tracking polls, the UPICVoter poll and the University of Southern CaliforniaLos Angeles Times poll were the only polls that often incorrectly predicted a Trump popular vote win or showed a nearly tied election.
Despite all this polling was not far from the actual popular vote result, very few states had results that deviated from the average. In a FiveThirtyEight article, Nate Silver defended the performance of the polling in 2016 as historically average. He argued that media organizations need to do a better job of informing their readers about their readers’ opinions.
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This page is based on the article Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election published in Wikipedia (as of Nov. 04, 2020) and was automatically summarized using artificial intelligence.
